Newspapers and Thinking the Unthinkable « Clay Shirky

Newspapers and Thinking the Unthinkable « Clay Shirky

It's 1500 all over again: "Round and round this goes, with the people committed to saving newspapers demanding to know 'If the old model is broken, what will work in its place?' To which the answer is: Nothing. Nothing will work. There is no general model for newspapers to replace the one the internet just broke.

"With the old economics destroyed, organizational forms perfected for industrial production have to be replaced with structures optimized for digital data. It makes increasingly less sense even to talk about a publishing industry, because the core problem publishing solves -- the incredible difficulty, complexity, and expense of making something available to the public -- has stopped being a problem....

"That is what real revolutions are like. The old stuff gets broken faster than the new stuff is put in its place. The importance of any given experiment isn't apparent at the moment it appears; big changes stall, small changes spread. Even the revolutionaries can't predict what will happen....

"The newspaper people often note that newspapers benefit society as a whole. This is true, but irrelevant to the problem at hand; 'You're gonna miss us when we're gone!' has never been much of a business model. So who covers all that news if some significant fraction of the currently employed newspaper people lose their jobs?

"I don't know. Nobody knows. We're collectively living through 1500, when it's easier to see what's broken than what will replace it. "

(Via Ace.)